Is This the Start of the Trump Stock Slump?
When it became clear that Trump would be the next president the market panicked. Then the market rose on expectation that Trump might replicate Reagan years supply side economics and prosperity. This was the Trump bump that lasted until Trump reality set in. NBC News writes how stocks hit a three week low after the inauguration and Trump’s protectionist speech. Is this the start of the Trump stock slump?
European stocks and bond yields dropped on Monday and the dollar hit a six-week low after President Donald Trump began his term in office with a protectionist speech that pushed a nervous […]
Will Eisenhower Era Jawboning Work on Stocks Today?
Those who believe that Trump will “make America great again” are thinking of the 1950’s, the years when Ike (5 star general turned president Eisenhower) was in the oval office. During his time in office Ike was known to call the president of US Steel and “jawbone” him into not raising the price of steel because when steel prices went up so did the price of every item made with steel or by machines with steel parts. It was considered the first step in inflation. The same approach was used by President Lyndon Johnson during the 1960’s when the word […]
What Impact Would Tighter Monetary Policy Have on Your Investments?
A new president is about to take office. Successful investors will be the ones who anticipate how the next administration and congress will affect the economy and how the various factors at play will affect investments. In the case of Trump and a Republican controlled congress we expect tax cuts, an attempt to bring corporate cash back from overseas and increased spending on U.S. infrastructure. If these plans come to fruition there will be at least short and medium term stimulus to the economy. A predictable result will also be increased interest rates, namely a tighter monetary policy. The value […]
Does Extraordinary Uncertainty Lead to Extraordinary Stock Market Risk?
On the eve of Trump’s inauguration the stock market is up and many are enthusiastic about tax cuts, repatriated corporate cash and the fiscal stimulus associated with fixing much of America’s broken infrastructure. We wrote about stocks at risk in the Trump years but there may be more. Lawrence Summers, former Harvard Prof. and Secretary of the Treasury during the Clinton years, believes that markets are underestimating risks associated with a Trump presidency. Bloomberg reports.
“This is probably the largest transition ideologically and in terms of substantive policy that we’ve seen in the U.S. in the last three quarters of a […]
What Is Happening to the Stock Market Rally?
The night of Trump´s election the stock market tanked and then revived as investors thought about lower taxes, offshore corporate cash repatriation and infrastructure-related economic stimulus measures. An already over-priced stock market headed up. But in the last two weeks the market has started to oscillate up and down with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 140 points at the ending of the session end half a percent below the previous day´s close. What is happening to the stock market rally? CBS Money Watch looks at hot stocks that are suddenly not.
Rising bond interest rates are sapping the popularity of […]
Will Trump’s Trade Policies Kill His Stock Market Rally?
When it was clean that Trump would be the next president the stock market tanked. Then investors thought of the promises of lower taxes, corporate money repatriated from offshore and fiscal stimulus via infrastructure repairs. And the stock market rallied. Now the specter of a trade war emerges as Trump’s trade policies become clearer. Will Trump’s trade policies kill his stock market rally? Will they kill the American economy? The Huffington Post writes that that stocks could suffer as Trump’s trade policies take shape.
The year-end stocks rally on the heels of the election of Donald Trump as U.S. president was […]
How to Pick Stock Winners for 2017
Will the Trump stock rally continue or fizzle? Will the market shrug off rising interest rates or will the Fed’s actions torpedo the stock market? Which are the best stock picks for the coming year and which will be losers? Let us consider how to pick stock winners for 2017. CNBC writes about experts who expect stocks to rise next year.
U.S. stocks should rise slightly in 2017 as equities benefit from tax cuts, according to CNBC’s Market Strategist Survey.
The survey of 13 strategists’ outlooks published since the U.S. election found the median 2017 S&P 500 price target is 2,325, or […]
What Will Happen to Stocks When Interest Rates Go Up?
In the early 2000’s interest rates were low and everyone bought more home than they could afford. When rates when up all of those balloons on mortgages came due with higher rates and the housing market collapsed. Today we are seeing a stock bubble based on low interest rates. What will happen to stocks when interest rates go up? Forbes interviewed the richest man in the world, Bill Gates. The co-founder of Microsoft says stocks are expensive but what bothers him is that interest rates are so low.
On Tuesday, Microsoft co-founder, Bill Gates, said “stocks are expensive” on CNBC. The […]