Silent Warning for Investors

Posts Tagged overpriced stocks

Silent Warning for Investors

By Jim Walker on Thursday, August 8th, 2019 | Comments Off

The man who is perhaps the greatest investor ever is silent and that should concern investors. Warren Buffett is the prime example of a long term, buy and hold investor who totally believes in the power of the US economy and the US stock market to grow wealth. Buffett’s net wealth was about $10,000 in the middle of the 20th century and today he vies with Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates for the title of the richest person in the world with more than $80 Billion in net wealth. Buffet would, in fact, be […]

How to Spot Overpriced Investments

By Jim Walker on Monday, October 1st, 2018 | Comments Off

The S&P 500 has been on a steady upward climb for the last nine and a half years. As the market climbs higher and higher the smart investor needs to know how to spot overpriced investments. Ideally, one has bought low at the beginning of the bull market and can sell high before the market or individual stocks correct. The S&P 500 index is four times greater than it was in February of 2009. However, this year the vast majority of gains within the S&P 500 group have come from a handful of well-known tech stocks. CNBC noted that just […]

Could Your Investments Lose 30% of Their Value Next Year?

By Jim Walker on Wednesday, August 8th, 2018 | Comments Off

Earnings have been driving growth in the stock market. A trade war is developing and we are entering the 9th year of an economic expansion. CNBC writes that 20% earnings growth is not sustainable and predicts that stocks could plummet 20% to 30% next year.
“You could be looking at the first 20 percent-plus decline in the S&P since the financial crisis,” the firm’s chief U.S. strategist said Tuesday on CNBC’s “Futures Now.”
His worst-case scenario is a 30 percent plunge next year.
“Our primary list of concerns is on the earnings front,” Clissold said. “Earnings growth north of 20 percent isn’t sustainable, […]

Is Pension Money Keeping the Rally Alive?

By Jim Walker on Monday, October 9th, 2017 | Comments Off

Everyone says that the stock market is overpriced but it keeps going up. One reason is that earnings are pretty strong for the market leaders and nothing seems to scare investors when earnings are good. But there is more to the story. When there is a lot of money to invest it tends to go into the market. Market Watch makes the point that money managers are being forced to buy stocks as pension contributions pour in.
Their point is that while many factors drive the market, forced buying is a real driver when huge pension fund contributions roll in, usually […]

Is Dr. Doom Right about the Markets?

By Jim Walker on Monday, June 26th, 2017 | Comments Off

There are contrarians who continually predict a fall in stock prices. The old joke is that even hypochondriacs get sick once in a while. Thus by analogy we might say that even the perpetual naysayer will be right about the market from time to time. One of these naysayers is Marc Faber also known as Dr. Doom. According to CNBC he predicts that stocks are set to plummet 40% or more.
If the man often hailed as the original “Dr. Doom” is right, the stock market could see another “lurch” higher – at which point investors may want to cash out […]

What Is Happening to the Stock Market Rally?

By Jim Walker on Wednesday, December 28th, 2016 | Comments Off

The night of Trump´s election the stock market tanked and then revived as investors thought about lower taxes, offshore corporate cash repatriation and infrastructure-related economic stimulus measures. An already over-priced stock market headed up. But in the last two weeks the market has started to oscillate up and down with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 140 points at the ending of the session end half a percent below the previous day´s close. What is happening to the stock market rally? CBS Money Watch looks at hot stocks that are suddenly not.
Rising bond interest rates are sapping the popularity of […]

Will the 2017 Stock Market Be a Huge Disappointment?

By Jim Walker on Monday, November 21st, 2016 | Comments Off

We have written about the stock market response to a Trump presidency. Mr. Trump may be able to push through tax cuts, stimulus spending in infrastructure improvements and make a deal to bring home massive amount of capital currently sequestered offshore. Many believe this will stimulate the economy, bring on inflation and cause the Fed to raise interest rates, which in turn would drive the dollar higher. But will this help the stock market or will the 2017 stock market be a huge disappointment? Fortune weighs in on the side of a lackluster market in 2017 and says that Trump […]

What Happened to Apple?

By Jim Walker on Wednesday, July 22nd, 2015 | Comments Off

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Apple (APPL) opened nearly $9 lower taking the NASDAQ down 1% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average 40 points. What happened to Apple? Reuters reports how Apple and other tech stocks earned […]

Profit from an Overpriced Stock Market

By Jim Walker on Monday, January 26th, 2015 | Comments Off

There is increasing concern about the fact that stock valuations are at a ten year high. CNBC reports that prices have maintained despite lower earnings. The S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio, which compares the price of the S&P to analyst projections of what S&P companies will earn over the next 12 months, has risen to 16.6, […]

Posts Tagged overpriced stocks