Stock Investing Tips

Should You Invest in the FANG on the Correction?

The long-running bull market is starting to correct. We, and many others, have suggested that investors may want to get out of growth stocks and switch to value stocks in preparation for a market crash or at least a painful correction. The rationale is that value stocks are companies with low debt, cash in the bank, and property unencumbered by excessive debt. However, the basis of intrinsic stock value is forward looking earnings. And, the best earnings in recent years have come from tech stocks like the FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google-Alphabet).
Protected from a Trade War with China
One of […]

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Defense Stocks for a New Nuclear Era

The USA is about to exit a Reagan Era nuclear weapons treaty with the Russians. This could set off another arms race in weapons of mass destruction. It could also provide profitable investments for defense stocks in a new nuclear era. Zacks suggests two defense stocks to buy if we end up in another nuclear arms race with the Russians and Chinese.
President Donald Trump has decided to withdraw the United States from the landmark nuclear weapons deal signed with Russia in 1987 that banned both nations from owning, producing and test-flying nuclear missiles.
While Trump’s recent decision may not be a […]

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Do Your Investments Have Pricing Power?

A trade war is becoming more certain and the effects of the Trump tax cut are wearing off. Which of your investments will retain their value and which will correct? Earnings have been the driver in this bull market. But, which stocks will continue to display strong earnings in a full-fledged trade war? Companies that dominate their market niche are typically able to raise prices without losing many customers. This is pricing power. Do your investments have pricing power?
CNBC writes about stocks to buy to ride out a trade war with China.
Goldman Sachs says there is still an investment strategy […]

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Why Are Health Care Companies Good Investments Today?

As the bull market continues to age, many investors are re-balancing their investment portfolios. Some are buying bonds as a way to invest without losing any money. These folks are willing to accept safety in return for giving up the opportunity for more profits if the market keeps going up. Others are staying in the market but looking for safe investment niches. One such relatively safe investment niche is health care. Why are health care companies good investments today?
Signs That a Correction Is Getting Closer
Stock traders watch the market for technical signals and long term investors look at stock fundamentals. […]

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Could the Mid-Term Elections Cause You to Lose Money?

In just a couple of months the country will vote in the mid-term elections. This is the election that falls between presidential elections. On the Federal level, all seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election every two years and a third of US senate seats as well. There is a tendency for the party that did well in the presidential election to lose seats in this “off year” election. Because of the potential for a significant shift in political power on the Federal level, investors are wise to pay attention. Could the mid-term elections cause you […]

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Could Your Investments Lose 30% of Their Value Next Year?

Earnings have been driving growth in the stock market. A trade war is developing and we are entering the 9th year of an economic expansion. CNBC writes that 20% earnings growth is not sustainable and predicts that stocks could plummet 20% to 30% next year.
“You could be looking at the first 20 percent-plus decline in the S&P since the financial crisis,” the firm’s chief U.S. strategist said Tuesday on CNBC’s “Futures Now.”
His worst-case scenario is a 30 percent plunge next year.
“Our primary list of concerns is on the earnings front,” Clissold said. “Earnings growth north of 20 percent isn’t sustainable, […]

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How to Profit When Other Investors Lose Their Shirts

Whoa! What happened to Facebook? The stock lost just over twenty percent of its value in four days between July 25 and July 30. If you invested in the stock a few months after the IPO in 2012 you bought Facebook for $18 a share. And, if you had sold at the peak on July 25th, you would have gotten $217.50 a share for an eleven-fold, 1,100% profit. We all wish we had the foresight to spot every Facebook opportunity in order to buy and sell at the right times. But, successful investors live in the “now” and not in […]

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Most Reliable Criteria for Picking Investments

The stock market has had an impressive rally. Those who chose the right stocks a few years ago have done very well. Anyone who bought Apple in November of 2008 for $12.88 a share has a stock that today is selling for $189 a share. Likewise, Alphabet (Google) sold for $142 a share in December of 2008 and sells for $1,120 today. On the other hand, General Electric sold for $8 a share in January of 2009 and sells for $13 today. How could you have predicted which of these investments would go up in value and which would stagnate? […]

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Should You Invest in US Steel Companies?

It started with Trump threatening to start a trade war with China. And now it has come around a trade war with our North American neighbors and the European Union. Today the president announced that there will be tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union. While economists and free-traders wring their hands in anguish we wonder this, should you invest in US steel companies?
United States Steel Producers
There are only two steel producers in the USA, Nucor and United States Steel Corporation.
US Steel was once the largest corporation in the world and a century ago […]

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How Do You Pick an Investment to Short?

The popular movie, The Big Short, dramatized how hedge fund manager Michael Burry made a profit of $2.69 billion by anticipating the collapse of the US housing market in 2007. Burry created a credit default swap market when he realized that the vast number of high risk subprime loans made the housing market unstable. There is a lot of detail in the movie but the point which interests us here is how do you pick an investment to short? This thought came to mind as we consider and re-consider the aging bull market, the risk of a trade war with […]

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