Profitable Investing Tips
Will There Be a Trade War Peace Dividend?
The president stated recently that there is a partial deal in the works to advance talks in the trade war between the USA and China. Part of our speculation as this story has played out is about what investments will do well when the trade war is resolved. In that regard, Apple rose to an all-time high on the news. Will there be a trade war peace dividend? If so, this is the time to jump in with both feet. Or, is this just more posturing with a permanent trade war the more […]
Is Microsoft a Buy and Hold Investment?
High tech stocks have been the drivers of the longest bull market in U.S. history. But, how long will the rally last and are any of the tech darlings buy and hold material? From the depths of the U.S. financial crisis and stock market collapse until now, stocks like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), and Facebook have been big winners. However, no market rally lasts forever. Fears of a permanent trade war with China, a 2020 recession, and FANG investment risks, are causing analysts to downgrade many of these companies. One venerable tech stock […]
What Are Your Investment Alternatives?
What Are Your Investment Alternatives?
As noted in a recent CNN business article, investors are “holding
their noses” and buying stocks because “there is no alternative.”
TINA
(There Is No Alternative) has become a popular mantra on Wall Street. It
explains why stocks are near record highs despite concerns about trade tensions
with China and what’s expected to be another round of lackluster corporate
earnings next month.
Not
even a huge surge in crude prices Monday following an attack on Saudi oil
facilities over the weekend was enough to dampen investor enthusiasm all that
much. The Dow fell a little more than 150 points, or about 0.6%, Monday. That’s
a pretty tame […]
Will Inverted Bond Yields Cause Your Investments to Crash?
At the beginning of last year, we asked if you should be concerned about the inverted yield curve. The fact is that many previous market crashes and recessions have been preceded by “inversion” of rates on long term versus short term bonds. The timing of this “predictor” is such that it may be a year or two after bond rates change that the market crashes or the economy suffers. There are two questions here for investors. One is whether or not this episode of interest rate inversion will be followed by a collapse of […]
Bitcoin Pump and Dump Again?
And a bitcoin security warning
Remember the 2017 Bitcoin pump and dump? It seemed like an epic bull run for the cryptocurrency but ended in a crash. Bitcoin started 2017 just below $1,000 and rose during the year. Bitcoin “enthusiasts” hyped the cryptocurrency as the “investment “of the future while long term successful investors called it a scam. After Bitcoin fell from the $20,000 range to the $3,000 range at the end of 2017, all of the Bitcoin hype went away, for a couple of years. However, it appears that we are seeing a Bitcoin […]
Bank Stock Analysis
Bank stock analysis with both technical and fundamental analysis will be critical in sorting out profitable investments in large US banks. The recent news about a possible huge law suit against several major banks sent bank stocks tumbling across the board. The fundamentals lie in the risk to bank solvency from the huge numbers of mortgage defaults that have happened and continue to happen across the USA. It turns out that Bank of America – BAC, JPMorgan Chase – JPM, and others sold many mortgages to the government-backed mortgage lenders, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Now we hear in the news […]
Why Invest in Berkshire Hathaway?
Warren Buffett has become one of the richest men in the world by using intrinsic stock value as a guide to investing for Berkshire Hathaway. But, Berkshire Hathaway is now a huge company with multiple holdings. There is a temptation to say that it has reached a mature state where there is not much more room to grow. Is that true? We don’t think so. So, why invest in Berkshire Hathaway today? The first reason is that the stock is undervalued.
Is Berkshire Hathaway Undervalued?
The Motley Fool says to in their article about three reasons […]
Ready for the 2020 Recession?
The recovery from the Financial Crisis has been impressive and prolonged. However, a combination of factors is causing headwinds that the US economy may not be able to overcome. While pundits in the media, social and print, argue both sides of the issue, the bond market is betting heavily on an economic downturn. Are you ready for the 2020 recession? Here we will look at why next year is likely when the economic “ax” will fall and then what you can do to protect your investment portfolio.
Will There Be a Recession Starting in 2020?
The […]
Silent Warning for Investors
The man who is perhaps the greatest investor ever is silent and that should concern investors. Warren Buffett is the prime example of a long term, buy and hold investor who totally believes in the power of the US economy and the US stock market to grow wealth. Buffett’s net wealth was about $10,000 in the middle of the 20th century and today he vies with Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates for the title of the richest person in the world with more than $80 Billion in net wealth. Buffet would, in fact, be […]
Investing During a Permanent Trade War
In the last year and a half we have looked at the evolving trade war between the US and China and, to a degree, between the US and everyone else. As the situation has evolved, we are now looking at investing during a permanent trade war. Here is how our thinking has evolved. To begin with, we appear to have been overly optimistic. In March of 2018 we asked what can you invest in and not get hurt by a trade war. At that time our belief was that companies in entertainment, like Disney, […]