covid-19
Risk of Greater Fool Investing
By many measures the current stock market highs are crazy. We wrote months ago about how the stock market is ignoring the economy. Unemployment is still at historic lows, congress is not coming across with another stimulus, and people are running out of money. This will result in families tightening their belts, buying as little as possible, and driving the financials of many companies downward. Nevertheless, many investors seem to be ignoring the fundamentals and trying to eke out more profits before taking their profits.
Will the Market Crash Again in 2020?
The stock market started the year strong and then come the coronavirus pandemic and the market crashed. The stock market as a whole has largely recovered from the covid-19 crash. But, with a weak economy and no substantial stimulus, will the market crash again in 2020? If you look at how things played out in the wake of the 1929 market crash you see that the market crashed, partially recovered, fell again, and partially recovered and continued in a downward course until 1932.
How Will Your Investments Do in the Second Half of 2020?
The stock market fell with the onset of the covid-19 pandemic and then recovered. How will your investments do in the second half of 2020? We wrote recently about stock market recovery risks. We noted that three things need to happen for the economy and the market recovery to continue. The Fed needs to continue
Covid-19 Era Investment Opportunities
The pandemic has driven business and social communications onto the internet. This movement was already well underway but has been hastened by the need for social distancing. Companies that work in this sector have benefitted from the current crisis while face to face companies like restaurants, entertainment, and travel have suffered. Although grocery stores and pharmacies have stayed open, home delivery has boomed. The pandemic is not going to suddenly stop and many of the new ways of doing things are efficient. Thus we do not expect a return to “normal” when the virus lets up. Rather we expect to see a new normal and there is where we will find many covid-19 era investment opportunities.