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Posts Tagged ‘intrinsic stock value’


Treat Your Investments Like a Cash Machine and Not a Slot Machine

How do you make money with your investments? There are two basic strategies. One is to pick a solid investment based on strong intrinsic value and hold for the long term. The other is always to follow the old adage to buy low and sell high. The first approach assumes that timing the market is difficult and not worth the risk. The second approach uses a lot of technical analysis in an attempt to time the market. Our suggestion is that for the long haul you should follow the first approach for the majority of your investments. You should treat […]

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How Do You Pick an Investment to Short?

The popular movie, The Big Short, dramatized how hedge fund manager Michael Burry made a profit of $2.69 billion by anticipating the collapse of the US housing market in 2007. Burry created a credit default swap market when he realized that the vast number of high risk subprime loans made the housing market unstable. There is a lot of detail in the movie but the point which interests us here is how do you pick an investment to short? This thought came to mind as we consider and re-consider the aging bull market, the risk of a trade war with […]

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Why Invest in Tesla When It Keeps Losing Money?

Profitable investing comes from picking investments that have a future. The concept of intrinsic stock value is based on projected future cash flow. As we follow our investments and pick others an important thing to watch is company earnings. Obviously, you want your investments to be showing a profit, even growth stocks and other investments with potential for the future. But what if earnings are simply not that good? A case in point is the electric car maker, Tesla. Why invest in Tesla if it keeps losing money?
Earnings reports are due and The Street says it is do or die […]

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What Can You Do to Avoid Confusion about Investments?

The bull market is getting old. Should you sell? Some of the tech stocks still have good earnings. That implies a good intrinsic stock value. Should you buy when stock prices fall? Interest rates are edging up. Is that bad for stocks? What can you do to avoid confusion about investments? We wrote about the risk of higher interest rates three years ago.
The cost of doing business (borrowing) is about to go up for companies that can least afford it. The expectation that stocks with speculative credit ratings will outperform blue chips seems to be going away as blue chips […]

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Does Following Warren Buffett’s Investments Really Do Any Good?

Every so often we read an article about how you should invest like Warren Buffett in order to achieve success in the stock market. But, does following Warren Buffett’s investments really do any good or is it simply better to imitate his approach? After all when Buffet invests a few billion in a company its price commonly goes up. And, investing just after the stock price goes up is not an especially good idea. The Street just published an article about how to invest like Warren Buffett.
In a letter to his Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A – Get Report) (BRK.B – Get […]

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What Investments Do You Want to Own Next Year?

When you follow stocks in the news there is an element of breathless melodrama. Nellie has been kidnapped and is tied to the train tracks. The train is coming. Will the hero get there in time? One moment the answer is yes and the next moment it is no. If you fall for the melodrama of stock reporting you are caught in a gut wrenching never-never land of worry about next month, next week or even tomorrow. A healthy alternative is to pick investments based on a longer term view. What investments do you want to own next year and […]

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It Is a Mistake to Mix Politics and Investment Strategies

People invest in stocks, bonds or real estate to make money. Citizens vote for politicians who will pursue policies that the citizens favor. In a recent interview Warren Buffett said that it is a mistake to mix politics and investment strategies. That Mr. Buffett is following through on this philosophy is borne out by the fact that he was an ardent Clinton supporter but has poured $20 Billion into the stock market since the election of Donald Trump. In an interview with CNBC Buffett said that how Trump handles the primary threat to US security is how he should be […]

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Just How Many Years Are Required to Make an Investment Long Term?

People like Warren Buffett have made substantial profits from smart long term investing. Just how many years are required to make an investment long term? We can get a hint from the so-called Oracle of Omaha who says that he cannot outguess the market in the short term but has a pretty good idea of what will sell well ten years hence. Thus we should not be surprised when Market Watch says long run for investing is longer than you think.
There are certain truths that are etched into the brains of investors. They know that in the long-run, their portfolio […]

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When Is Stock Picking Likely to Be Successful?

The Wall Street Journal recently discussed The Dying Business of Picking Stocks and how passive investing in index funds has become common. Despite this trend there are folks who make a lot of money on specific stocks. When is stock picking likely to be successful and when should you stick with an index fund?
Pension funds, endowments, 401(k) retirement plans and retail investors are flooding into passive investment funds, which run on autopilot by tracking an index. Stock pickers, archetypes of 20th century Wall Street, are being pushed to the margins.
Over the three years ended Aug. 31, investors added nearly $1.3 […]

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