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Archive for the ‘Value Investing’ Category


How to Spot a Value Trap Investment

Over the years we have often cautioned investors to beware of penny stocks, especially those that have seen better days. While investing in a grand old name in hopes of a recovery it is important to learn how to spot a value trap investment. This issue came up recently when we wondered what was wrong at Kraft Heinz. As bargains become harder to find in an aging bull market there is a temptation to go bottom feeding in search of an investment miracle. Here is some advice about what to watch out for.
 
Kraft Heinz Products
 
Spotting a Value Trap
A couple of […]

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Is Your Investment Story Profitable?

Successful investors have a story that drives their investment decisions. A prime example is Warren Buffett who notes that the U.S. stock market prospers on the back of a growing U.S. economy. He looks for companies that reliably generate profits year after year and is a disciple of the intrinsic stock value approach to investing as he was, in fact, a student of Benjamin Graham who discovered that approach. So, the man who is perhaps the most successful investor of all time has a simple story that drives his investing. Is your investment story profitable?
Simple Investment Stories
The concept of investment […]

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When Are Cheap Investments the Best Investments?

A couple of years ago we wrote to beware of penny stocks. The point being that cheap investments are not necessarily good investments. After all, there is probably a good reason why a stock is selling for a low price. On the other hand, companies that are just starting out and are not being watched by Wall Street analysts may be very promising but no one is watching. The bottom line for stock value (as opposed to price) is intrinsic stock value. When you have unique insights about the stock in question and the big guys are not watching, you […]

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Why Invest in Boeing?

Not long ago we wrote about whether or not Boeing would need to outsource production in order to remain profitable. That question largely had to do with the threat of a long-term trade war and Boeing potentially losing markets as a result. The trade war may well be on its way to at least a temporary resolution so the question is why invest in Boeing over the long term? Essentially Boeing is a cash cow with a dominant position in an increasingly higher and higher cost of entry business. Its only real competitor is Airbus as the two of them […]

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What Was Wrong at Kraft Heinz?

Last week the stock of the packaged food giant, Kraft Heinz, took a nosedive. The stock fell by 28% on news of a SEC investigation of the company’s accounting practices but more so the nosedive was due to gigantic losses in the last year. The package food business is very competitive and companies need to balance quality, price, advertising, and new product lines in order to stay competitive as much so as to gain an advantage. What was wrong at Kraft Heinz was that they seem to have lost their way. Cost cutting became the order of the day in […]

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Panic Buying of Investments Is a Bad Sign

A friend of ours commented recently that panic buying of investments is a bad sign. He is old enough to remember when the three Hunt brothers tried to corner the silver market and failed.
Panic Buying of Silver in 1979 to 1980
The boom and bust of silver prices is remembered as Silver Thursday, March 27, 1980. Silver was trading at around $6 an ounce in early 1979 and as the brothers purchased increasingly larger amounts of silver on margin, the price rose to $49.45 by January 18, 1980. By that time the three Hunt brothers controlled a third of all silver […]

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Time to Invest in GM?

General Motors was once the largest corporation in the world and the king of U.S. auto makers. Foreign competition ate away at its customer base and profits and the financial crisis dealt the final blow. In 2009 the once-king of U.S. automakers filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection with US$172.81 billion in debts and US$82.29 billion in assets. The company divested itself of numerous assets keeping the Chevrolet, Cadillac, GMC, and Buick brands as well as controlling interests in numerous foreign automobile operations. After reorganization, the new GM emerged in a $20.6 Billion IPO in November of 2010. Any money […]

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Win the Trade War and Lose on Your Investments

The trade negotiations between the USA and China are coming to a head. Will there be genuine gains for the USA? We have written how both the USA and China have issues that they see as crucial to their national prosperity and security in our article about if the trade war becomes permanent. However, neither side wants to suffer the economic pain that could come out of a protracted trade war. China, especially, is seeing economic difficulties on the horizon and needs to do something sooner rather than later. So, there may well be a deal forthcoming. However, from the […]

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How Do Job Cutbacks in China Relate to Your Investments?

China has been the economic miracle of the world for decades. From Nixon’s visit in 1972 to its entry into the World Trade Organization to the current day, China has not had a negative growth year since 1978 and has average a 10% GDP growth rate. At the same time North American and Europe are ecstatic with an occasional 5% growth rate and typically languish in the 2% to 3% range. But, things are not all well in the Land of Managed Capitalism (by the Communist Party). Debt is rising and there is a potential for a long term trade […]

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Choosing Deep Value Investments

Many investors are pessimistic about the prospects of their investments in the coming year. In this regard we are looking at the process of choosing deep value investments. We see the pessimism in that stocks are rising on tepid earnings reports as The New York Times reports.
Late last month, chip giant Advanced Micro Devices reported disappointing financial results for the fourth quarter and warned that its first quarter performance would be weaker than expected. The stock surged 20 percent. A couple of days later, General Electric reported one of its skimpiest quarterly profits of the century, badly missing analysts’ forecasts. […]

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