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Archive for the ‘Stock Investing Tips’ Category


Could Your Investments Lose 30% of Their Value Next Year?

Earnings have been driving growth in the stock market. A trade war is developing and we are entering the 9th year of an economic expansion. CNBC writes that 20% earnings growth is not sustainable and predicts that stocks could plummet 20% to 30% next year.
“You could be looking at the first 20 percent-plus decline in the S&P since the financial crisis,” the firm’s chief U.S. strategist said Tuesday on CNBC’s “Futures Now.”
His worst-case scenario is a 30 percent plunge next year.
“Our primary list of concerns is on the earnings front,” Clissold said. “Earnings growth north of 20 percent isn’t sustainable, […]

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How to Profit When Other Investors Lose Their Shirts

Whoa! What happened to Facebook? The stock lost just over twenty percent of its value in four days between July 25 and July 30. If you invested in the stock a few months after the IPO in 2012 you bought Facebook for $18 a share. And, if you had sold at the peak on July 25th, you would have gotten $217.50 a share for an eleven-fold, 1,100% profit. We all wish we had the foresight to spot every Facebook opportunity in order to buy and sell at the right times. But, successful investors live in the “now” and not in […]

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Most Reliable Criteria for Picking Investments

The stock market has had an impressive rally. Those who chose the right stocks a few years ago have done very well. Anyone who bought Apple in November of 2008 for $12.88 a share has a stock that today is selling for $189 a share. Likewise, Alphabet (Google) sold for $142 a share in December of 2008 and sells for $1,120 today. On the other hand, General Electric sold for $8 a share in January of 2009 and sells for $13 today. How could you have predicted which of these investments would go up in value and which would stagnate? […]

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Should You Invest in US Steel Companies?

It started with Trump threatening to start a trade war with China. And now it has come around a trade war with our North American neighbors and the European Union. Today the president announced that there will be tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union. While economists and free-traders wring their hands in anguish we wonder this, should you invest in US steel companies?
United States Steel Producers
There are only two steel producers in the USA, Nucor and United States Steel Corporation.
US Steel was once the largest corporation in the world and a century ago […]

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How Do You Pick an Investment to Short?

The popular movie, The Big Short, dramatized how hedge fund manager Michael Burry made a profit of $2.69 billion by anticipating the collapse of the US housing market in 2007. Burry created a credit default swap market when he realized that the vast number of high risk subprime loans made the housing market unstable. There is a lot of detail in the movie but the point which interests us here is how do you pick an investment to short? This thought came to mind as we consider and re-consider the aging bull market, the risk of a trade war with […]

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Are Amazon and Facebook in Trouble?

Our first thought in regard to how far high tech will fall is that the stocks are overpriced. And, passive investors are pouring money into index funds that do nothing but bid up the prices of the FANG darlings. The market has started to correct and, based on earnings reports, tech stocks will either continue to fade or will recover a bit. But, there are a couple of other issues that bear consideration in regard specifically to Amazon.com and Facebook. There is the possibility that Trump will want to go after Amazon in order to protect and bring back small […]

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Will You Lose Money When the Interest Rate Goes Up?

The investor community is fretting over interest rates. Inflation is creeping up and the US Federal Reserve is likely to keep raising rates. When rates creep up, the stock market heads down. And if you hold long term bonds they will continue to pay the current low rate even as new bonds pay more. That means you will either sell them at a loss or hold them with their low yield until maturity. Depending on the positioning of your investment portfolio, will you lose money when interest rates to up?
Short versus Long Term Bonds
We recently wrote about tax free municipal […]

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When the Chinese Market Implodes What Happens to Your Investments

As US investors consider the odds of a stock market correction investors in China are already selling stocks. The Financial Times reports on a fresh China stock selloff.
Chinese stocks were back under pressure, as concern about a government crackdown on leverage levels continue to unnerve investors, leaving sentiment fragile.
The CSI300, a composite of stocks listed in Shenzhen and Shanghai, fell 1.3 per cent to a near-three-week low after notching its biggest one-day fall in 17 months on Thursday amid concerns over rising corporate bond yields. Since the start of trade then, it is down by over 4 per cent, trimming […]

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Are There Any Sleepers You Should Invest In?

The stock market just keeps going up. In the depths of the Great Recession you could have bought Amazon.com for $37 a share and now it trades close to $1,000. Amazon.com also has a P/E ratio of 250. In fact the tech darlings that are still driving the rally are all overpriced by historic standards. Are there any bargains left? Are there any sleepers you should invest in? CNBC writes about 5 stocks that have gone nowhere in 2017 but are stocks that may be worth buying.
In the midst of a raging bull market, some stocks in the S&P 500 […]

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How Long Will the Economic Sweet Spot Last?

The stock market seems to be overpriced but every times earnings come in they are positive and stocks keep going up. So long as the economy keeps chugging along it supports earnings but how long will the economic sweet spot last? CNBC writes that the economy may soon lose its power to boost stocks. Then what?
Closely followed strategist Jim Paulsen told CNBC on Monday he’s worried that economic data could stop supporting the stock market’s bull run.
“The economy has been doing so good for so long now that even if it continues to do well, it won’t any longer be […]

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