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Archive for the ‘Profitable Investing Tips’ Category


Bleak Future for Coal

A strong message from Donald Trump during the presidential campaign was that he was going to reduce environmental regulations and bring back jobs in the coal sector. That is probably not going to happen. In the USA coal mining companies like Peabody Energy, Arch Coal, Cloud Peak Energy and Alpha Natural Resources produce about 491 million tons of coal a year. This may be the peak of their production and not the trough because power companies are relying more on natural gas and renewable energy sources. They are even closing coal burning power plants. And that includes are areas where […]

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Moody’s Debt Downgrade Will Only Make China’s Problem Worse

For the first time in thirty years Moody’s has downgraded China’s debt. Bloomberg discusses the ramifications of China’s downgrade from A1 to Aa3.
The downgrade of China’s debt by Moody’s Investors Service may push Chinese companies to borrow even more money from domestic banks as overseas debt becomes more expensive, increasing risks for the nation’s finance industry.
With growing indebtedness at home, compounded by a slowing economy, there’s a risk of a “negative feedback loop,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research for Australia & New Zealand Banking Group who sees state-owned enterprises and property developers feeling the biggest impact. The downgrade […]

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What Would a Pence Presidency Mean for the Economy?

As troubles mount in the Trump White House the talking heads on TV have started to utter the “I” word, impeachment. As the independent prosecutor investigation proceeds into the question of coordination between the Trump campaign and Russian hackers this issue will linger. No one is really predicting a Trump exit and a Pence presidency just yet but a year ago no one was predicting a Trump presidency! On the outside chance that things go from bad to worse for the 45th president what would a Pence presidency mean for the economy and for the stock market?
Different Economic Messages
The stock […]

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Is the Economy Strong or Weak?

The stock market is a forward looking institution. That is to say investors and traders buy and sell based on their beliefs about what tomorrow will bring. However, the eventual price of any given stock always moves toward its intrinsic value, its value based on forward looking earnings. Looking forward the market has moved up with the election of Donald Trump because investors have expected to see tax cuts, infrastructure spending, repatriation of offshore corporate cash and a lot of deregulation. But not all sectors of the economy are doing well so the stock market advance is not spread out […]

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Are Cyber Security Tools Worth the Price?

The current ransomware attacks spanning the globe have taking down computer systems in schools, offices, hospitals and factories. According to Reuters cybersecurity stocks are up.
A global “ransomware” attack disrupting factories, hospitals, shops and schools spurred investors on Monday to buy up stocks expected to benefit from a pick-up in cybersecurity spending by firms and government agencies.
The cyber attack began spreading across the globe on Friday and by Monday had locked up computers in more than 150 countries, with experts warning of an even wider impact as more employees logged on and checked e-mails.
European Union police agency Europol said on Monday […]

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Has Over-Regulation Been Killing the US Stock Market?

In the last forty years the market capitalization of all stocks listed on US exchanges has risen from $704 billion to $27 Trillion. Forty years ago there were nearly 5,000 stocks listed on US exchanges and that rose to about 7,000 by twenty years ago. Today there are 3,600 listed companies in US markets. How is it that while market cap has gone up forty-fold the number of listed stocks has fallen by a third? Business Insider discusses the case of the missing US stocks.
The U.S. seems to be the only developed country that lost so many stocks. Most other […]

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Investments That Are Good Forever Until They Are Not

Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway are in the news again after their annual shareholder’s meeting. Buffett is famous for saying that his preferred time frame for holding an investment is forever. But the so-called Oracle of Omaha has criteria for buying stocks and when those criteria are no longer met, he and his crew have been known to sell in a hurry. Yahoo Finance writes about 11 stocks Warren Buffett didn’t hold forever.
However, when it comes to managing Berkshire Hathaway’s $153 billion stock portfolio, Buffett and his top money managers aren’t afraid to reverse on a dime and liquidate a […]

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Buy Options Ahead of Earnings Reports

AAPL earnings came out and the stock went down 2.1% after going up 0.6% the day before. The issue with Apple was that iPhone sales were down. It appears that Apple product devotees are waiting for the tenth anniversary launch of the iPhone 8 later this year. Nevertheless if you purchased AAPL in the run up to the earnings report you lost money. An alternative could be to buy options ahead of earnings reports. Investor’s Business Daily makes the same suggestion in an article about how stocks are set to fall on Apple earnings miss.
Investors should be careful of holding […]

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How to Evaluate Investment Opportunities

Investment opportunities come and go. Success comes from recognition of an opportunity and accurate analysis. It is in learning how to evaluate investment opportunities that investors find long term prosperity. Here are some thoughts on how to evaluate an investment from an article in Forbes.
Successful investing boils down to buying assets at a discount to intrinsic value. The greater the discount, the more likely the investment will perform. Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing, called this “margin of safety.” The concept is simple in theory and extremely challenging in practice, with the valuation process anything but straightforward.
The problem, as […]

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Investing When There Are Too Much Oil and Steel and Too Many Workers

Proponents of automation envision a world of plenty with resources shared by all. But the real result of automation has been increased production coupled with fewer jobs. Workers produce products and they get paid. Then they use their money to buy products. And manufacturers turn around and produce more products. But when fewer workers make products there are fewer people with money to keep the cycle going. Today we look at investing when there are too much oil and steel and too many workers, many without jobs. The New York Times writes that we may be in a long term […]

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