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Archive for August, 2017


How Much Should You Pay to Protect Your Portfolio?

The stock market seems to have peaked and may be ready for a substantial correction. How much should you pay in terms of lost opportunity in order to protect your portfolio? Bloomberg writes that many investors are moving from stocks to bonds which they describe as a bear market signal.
Risks are stacking up for markets attempting to recover from the latest provocation by North Korea and the mounting damage of Tropical Storm Harvey.
Citigroup Inc. strategists including Jeremy Hale cite “worrying developments” that may signal the approach of a correction in stocks, while Commerzbank AG finds growing evidence of bearish sentiment […]

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What Happens to Your Investments in a Leadership Vacuum?

There are times when foreigners may have a better perspective of the USA and its stock market than Americans. The US stock market has had a good run but many stocks are getting pricey. That by itself is a good reason to pull a little money out of the market. But another insight comes from a private sector pension fund in Finland. Bloomberg reports that these folks are selling US stocks because there is no president in the U.S.
A leadership vacuum in the world’s biggest economy has driven the largest private-sector pension fund in Finland to cut the weight of […]

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Are There Any Investment Bargains These Days?

The stock market keeps going up and many big name stocks seem overpriced. Are there any investment bargains these days in overlooked stocks, sectors or markets? USA Today writes about small cap stocks, their promise and their risks.
If you don’t currently have holdings in these stocks or related funds, it might be time to add some to your portfolio. Small caps can diversify portfolios and bring higher growth potential albeit with higher risks.
Because small cap stocks are often new companies with growth potential they may be investment bargains or they may be death traps because of their narrow focus. As […]

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How Much Will It Cost You to Stay in the Market?

Ron Paul, the perennial libertarian presidential candidate is in the news for predicting that the stock market will fall by 25% or even 50% within the next twelve months. Market Watch writes about Paul’s assertion that stocks may get chopped in half within the year.
Last month, libertarian and multiple campaigner for president Ron Paul made headlines with his gloomy prediction that the stock market, plagued by an overrated recovery for the U.S. economy, could plunge 25% by October.
Obviously, not much in the way of positive news has come along since then to change his views. In fact, he just took […]

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Beware of Investing When Illusion Replaces Reality

The stock market just keeps going higher. The voices of contrarians are being drowned by a chorus of analysts predicting endless growth. Does this sound familiar? If you were paying attention in the late 1990s you heard about how the stock market was now different and that old rules did not apply. Of course then the dot com bubble led to the dot com crash and a lot of money was lost. You would need be more than 100 years old to have been an investor when the market crashed in 1929 but there was the same unbridled optimism running […]

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Is Fracking Technology Using Up the Last of the Oil?

Four years ago we wrote to invest in oil shale or rather companies that use fracking technology to extract oil and natural gas from these deposits.
We suggested that one look at investment in sustainable fracking technology. Recovery of petroleum from oil shale deposits has allowed the USA to reduce its reliance on foreign oil to the lowest level in more than twenty years. Today the USA imports forty percent of its oil, down from sixty percent just a few years ago. If predictions hold true the USA will continue to increase oil and gas production from fields in both the […]

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As the North Korea Situation Escalates What Should You Buy and What Should You Sell?

Tension is increasing on the Korean peninsula as North Korea races to perfect nuclear arms and the means to deliver them by missile as far away as the United States. As the North Korea situation escalates what should you buy and what should you sell? First a little background.
What Is Going On in Korea?
Ever since the Korean War fighting ended with an armistice in 1953 troops have lined both sides of the demilitarized zone, ready to resume combat. Meanwhile the South has become a democratic country with an advanced economy. The North has remained under dictatorial rule of the same […]

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Time to Reallocate Your Investments as Trump Agenda Weakens

You may have been one of the lucky ones who jumped into the market with both feet the day after Donald Trump was elected president. If so you have probably made money. Investors were excited about the prospect of economic stimulus from infrastructure spending, lower taxes, deregulation and a mountain of offshore corporate cash coming back home. After spiking downward the night of the election the S&P 500 has gone up 400 points or 20%. And if you picked your stocks well you have done even better. But, it is apparent that despite lots of hype that the Republican president […]

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Are Banks Ready to Break Out?

Hopes of deregulation are part of why financial stocks are up. And investors may be moving some money out of an overvalued tech sector. The bottom line is that US bank stocks hit a post-crisis high according to The Financial Times.
US financial stocks closed at the highest level in nearly 10 years on Tuesday as hopes for deregulation of banks grow and investors ditch technology stocks for the previously unloved banking sector.
Shares of some of the country’s largest lenders, including Citigroup, Bank of America and JPMorgan, climbed more than 1 per cent on Tuesday, pushing the S&P 500 financial index […]

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