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Archive for March, 2017


Watch Out for the Trump Economic Slump

Investors like predictability. Markets may be volatile but so long as they have a means of predicting where the market is going investors are generally happy. Such has been the case with the Trump bump, the stock rally based on the expectation of lower taxes, less regulation, repatriated corporate offshore cash and infrastructure spending. After all the USA has the same party in control of the White House and both houses of congress. Unfortunately, when the same party has all of the control they tend to fight among themselves such as happened in the Carter years when Jimmy Carter referred […]

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What Happened to Trump’s Economic Agenda?

The Trump bump stock market rally is fizzling out. The market is asking what happened to Trump’s economic agenda as the new prez and House Speak Ryan promote their version of an Obama Care replacement. CNBC says that there will be a Trump tantrum looms on Wall Street if Trump’s first legislative push fails.
The Trump Trade could start looking more like a Trump Tantrum if the new U.S. administration’s health-care bill stalls in Congress, prompting worries on Wall Street about tax cuts and other measures aimed at promoting economic growth.
Investors are dialing back hopes that U.S. President Donald Trump will […]

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Are Latin American Investments Going to Soar?

Despite continuing economic concerns in Latin America their stocks markets are doing well. Partly this is because of the commodity slump the reduced values in all nations that export raw materials. And, of course, there was the impeachment of Brazil’s president and Venezuela’s Chavez/Maduro meltdown. Nevertheless markets are doing well down south. CNBC offers three reasons why Latin American stocks will continue to soar.
If you just pay attention to the headlines, it looks as if Latin America has taken a turn for the worse. Data revealed last week showed that Brazil GDP contracted by 3.6 percent in 2016, prolonging its […]

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How to Profit from Higher Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates again. The New York Times writes that the question is not why raise rates but why not.
The unemployment rate, one of the gauges the Fed watches most closely, fell to 4.7 percent in February, a healthy level by historical standards. Inflation, the other gauge, finally appears to be reviving. Prices rose 1.9 percent over the 12 months ending in January, close to the Fed’s 2 percent annual target.
The Fed continues to hold its benchmark interest rate at a level intended to stimulate economic growth by encouraging borrowing and taking risks. It […]

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Beware of Toxic Investments

Kodak was a great stock until digital photography came along. A great stock became a toxic stock. Beware of toxic investments and get out of stocks that are bucking the trends. The Motley Fool offers three stocks that could prove toxic to your portfolio.
Some industries just can’t compete with changing trends. Take retailers and offshore drillers, for example, which are struggling to contend with the lower-cost technological innovations of e-commerce and shale drilling, respectively. Because of that, companies in these industries are seeing their sales and profits sink, which is taking their stocks down as well. We don’t see either […]

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Does Low Volatility Predict a Positive Market?

According to CNBC you have to go back to 1994 to find a similar situation in the stock market. The S&P has gone a hundred days without a 1% dip. Besides being something they haven’t done for more than 20 years this low volatility may well predict a positive market going forward.
Since 1950, the market has logged only 21 other instances when the index traded without a 1 percent down day for 70 or more consecutive trading days, Johnson wrote in a recent report. The longest streak was in 1963, when the S&P 500 saw 184 straight trading sessions without […]

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What Are the Risks in Today’s Surging Market?

The stock market just keeps going up. Is there an end in sight? Will this be a prolonged rally similar to what started in the Reagan years? What are the risks in today’s surging market? The upside to investing is the promise of lower taxes, repatriated corporate cash and an economic boom caused by infrastructure spending. The potential downsides include a trade war with China, more terrorism at home or a nuclear attack by the crazy leader of North Korea. Business Insider says that smart folks on Wall Street are sounding the alarm on the Trump bump.
The Dow Jones industrial […]

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Will an Unwilling Congress Kill the Trump Market Rally?

The Tea Party movement arose in order to reduce the national debt and federal budget. Its aim has been to reduce government spending while also lowering taxes. The new president wants to lower taxes and raise spending on the military. Along the way the stock market has gone up in anticipation of lower taxes, offshore money coming home and economic stimulus from massive infrastructure repair. The problem is that while the Republicans control both houses of congress and the White House they do not agree on the ways and means to govern. The investor needs to wonder, will an unwilling […]

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